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May 20, 2013

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Newsletter (October 24, 2012)


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Science Publisher Calls for Better Communication—But Not of Science

by E. Calvin Beisner, Guest Post at WattsUpWithThat.com

Alan Leshner is worried. It seems scientists are having a hard time getting the public to understand science, and since “Public understanding of science … contributes to the extent of support for scientific research,” something must be done.

Leshner, CEO of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) and Executive Publisher of its flagship publication, Science, wrote in a recent editorial, “There is no shortage of topics where policy-makers or other members of the public seem to persistently misunderstand, misrepresent, or disregard the underlying science: climate change, genetically modified foods, vaccines, or evolution, among others.” …

Trouble is (focusing here just on climate change), the better I’ve understood the science on climate change …, the more convinced I’ve become that catastrophic anthropogenic global warming (CAGW) is false.

In fact, a careful scientific survey found that the more people know about the science, the less likely they are to believe in CAGW.

It seems likely, therefore, that Leshner will be disappointed in the results if scientists do become any better at communicating the science of climate change.

But a careful reading of his editorial suggests that that’s not what he’s really after anyway. After decrying scientists’ ineffectiveness at enlightening the public about the science of climate change, he writes,
Valuable studies have been carried out to discover what determines public attitudes toward science and technology, and some … point to an individual’s ideological views or cultural identity as having greater influence … than an understanding of the facts. Often, simply increasing public knowledge about an issue will not move the debate …. Instead, the way an issue is framed can have a larger effect on people’s views. As a case in point, many people will give more credit to the scientific claims about climate change when the issue is cast as a technological challenge than as a regulatory problem.
(I.e., with regard to that last sentence, if we beg the question of the reality of CAGW and just present people with the technological challenge of how to deal with it, we can avoid the problem of convincing them of its reality in the first place.)

It appears that what Leshner is really after is not better public understanding of science but particular public opinions about climate change and that he would be content to see scientists turn from facts to ideology, cultural identity, and framing to move public opinion on global warming—a dangerous but not uncommon view in our postmodern times, even in the science community, as I discussed in “Wanted for Premeditated Murder: How Post-Normal Science Stabbed Real Science in the Back on the Way to the Illusion of “Scientific Consensus” on Global Warming.” … [Read the rest.]

Northern Virginia Christian Leaders' Briefing Thursday, October 25

Please join Focus on the Family, the Family Foundation of Virginia, and the Cornwall Alliance Thursday, October 25, from noon to 2:00 p.m. at Washington Bible College / Capital Bible Seminary in Springfield, VA, to discuss issues of urgent importance to Christians both nationally and in the Northern Virginia area. Tim Goeglein, Vice President for External Relations of Focus on the Family; Victoria Cobb, President of the Family Foundation of Virginia, and E. Calvin Beisner, Founder and National Spokesman of The Cornwall Alliance, are the featured speakers. We stand at a critical crossroads in our nation. We need to unite in Biblical truth regarding the many cultural, societal, and political issues we face today. The event is free, and we will provide lunch. Please RSVP by calling Melinda Ronn at 917-743-7836. We look forward to seeing you on the 25th.

Overpopulation is a Myth

This nine-minute video demonstrates that the world is not overpopulated. Impending population decline threatens to cause poverty, and poverty, not prosperity, jeopardizes humanity and the Earth. Below-replacement birth rates burden the next generation with the care of many elderly by few workers. See also here.


Recent Significant Developments

Religion and Ethics

Unleash The Mind (George Gilder, National Review, August 12, 2012)
“If we continue to harass, overtax, and oppressively regulate entrepreneurs, our liberal politicians will be shocked and horrified to discover how swiftly the physical tokens of the means of production dissolve into so much corroded wire, abandoned batteries, scrap metal, and wasteland rot.”

Three Fallacies of the Social Gospel (Elise Amyx, Institute For Faith, Work, and Economics, October 19, 2012)
“Similar to the way Marxism twisted Scripture … the Social Gospel Movement was guilty of three major theological fallacies: Man is not so bad, and God is not so mad; cultural restoration is the gospel; social salvation is superior to individual salvation.”

Science and Ecology

Sea Ice News Volume 3 Number 15—Arctic Refreeze Fastest Ever (Anthony Watts, WattsUpWithThat, October 18, 2012)
It seems like we just keep coming up with more and more negative feedback mechanisms—as if Someone might have designed the world's systems to be not changeless but self-regulating. More on the Antarctic and Arctic freezing patterns here, here, here.

Yet another paper demonstrates warmer temperatures 1000 years ago and even 2000 years ago (Anthony Watts, WattsUpWithThat, October 18, 2012)
This, combined with the permanent withdrawal of a paper that purported to find a hockey stick for global temperature but got ripped to pieces for its bad data handling and statistical methods by Steve McIntyre, pretty well eviscerates the case that recent warming is historically unprecedented or can only be explained by rising CO2. More on poor climate models here, here, here, here, here, and here. More on the temperature and plant-growth effects of CO2 here, here, and here.

UAH V5.5 Global Temp. Update for Sept. 2012: +0.34 deg. C (Dr. Roy Spencer, drroyspencer.com, October 5, 2012)
The new interim dataset, Version 5.5, has a September, 2012 global lower tropospheric temperature anomaly of +0.34 deg. C


Economics and Energy

Is Climate Change the Number One Threat to Humanity? (Indur Goklany, WattsUpWithThat, October 17, 2012)
Even assuming the IPCC’s “consensus position,” global warming is far from the greatest threat to humanity. Indeed people will be healthier, wealthier, and longer-lived under the highest IPCC warming scenario than lower ones because of the benefits of the economic growth that would take us there. (Goklany’s full, peer-reviewed paper, summarized at the link above, is behind a subscription wall, but an earlier version is here.

Power Shortage Risks by 2015, Ofgem Warns (BBC, October 5, 2012)
Energy regulations in Europe and the U.S. reduce total energy production and threaten grid stability, both results undermining productivity and so inducing poverty. Grid failure—like that in India that left 700 million without power in August—costs money, productivity, and lives. More here, here, here, here, here, and here.

Food and Agriculture

Rachel Carson and the Bed Bugs (Jeffrey Tucker, Laissez Faire Books, September 24, 2012)
How did one of the most popular books in the history of environmentalism lead to bed bugs in New York—and millions of deaths in Africa? A book-length critique of Carson’s Silent Spring is Silent Spring at 50: The False Crises of Rachel Carson; see also here.

U.S. Biofuel Expansion Cost Developing Countries $6.6 Billion: Tufts (Marlo Lewis, Globalwarming.org, October 12, 2012)
"U.S. biofuel expansion has cost developing countries $6.6 billion in higher food costs, estimates Tufts University economist Timothy A. Wise.” This harms U.S. consumers and millions of the poor in developing countries. Biofuels not only are expensive but also may be a net detriment to the environment because of the nitrogen used in fertilizer.

Law, Regulation, and Litigation

GOP Needs to Start Talking about EPA Reform Now (Steve Milloy, Washington Times, September 18, 2012)
The EPA, it could be argued, is the single most damaging political body to the economy. Regulations on the economy now cost a conservatively estimated $1.75 Trillion (yes, with a "T") per year. Neither major political party can ignore numbers like that.

House Subcommittee Requests Inspector General Review of EPA Experiments on Humans (Committee on Science, Space, and Technology, October 19, 2012)
Congressman Paul Broun, a medical doctor and chairman of the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations of the House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology, sent a letter to the Environmental Protection Agency’s Inspector General requesting investigation of the legality and safety of experiments on the health effects of fine particulate matter on humans after American Tradition Institute’s Environmental Law Center sued EPA. See “Does EPA Grossly Exaggerate? Or Illegally Risk Human Deaths in Experiments?”

Politics and Debate

Why Are Environmentalists Taking Anti-Science Positions? (Fred Pearce, Environment 360, October 22, 2012)
“Three current issues suggest that the risks of myopic adherence to ideology over rational debate [among environmentalists] are real: genetically modified (GM) crops, nuclear power, and shale gas development. The conventional green position is that we should be opposed to all three.” In all three the statistics show safety, cleanliness, and benefits outweigh small and easily mitigated risks.

Global Warming Stopped 16 Years Ago, Reveals Quietly Released Met Office Report (David Rose, Daily Mail UK, October 13, 2012)
“… the ‘plateau’ or ‘pause’ in global warming has now lasted for about the same time as the previous period when temperatures rose, 1980 to 1996. Before that, temperatures had been stable or declining for about 40 years.” Phil Jones, head of University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Unit, centerpiece of Climategate, says that’s too short a time to define a trend; he doesn’t say the same of the 15- to16-year warming period. Climate expert Judith Curry vindicated Daily Mail. More here.


Resisting the Green Dragon

Order Resisting the Green Dragon for Church, School, or Small Group

More and more churches and other groups are using Cornwall Alliance’s groundbreaking 13-part video series around the country. With its printable discussion guide, it provides full curriculum for a Sunday school quarter. The accompanying book helps teachers and others dig deeper.

Join Cornwall Alliance Facebook Group Page

To keep up with relevant developments, join Cornwall Alliance’s Facebook Group page, where we and group members will post and discuss items daily.

Landmark Documents from the Cornwall Alliance

E. Calvin Beisner, Ph.D., Founder and National Spokesman
Cornwall Alliance for the Stewardship of Creation

Information in this newsletter is for scholarly and educational use only and may not be copied or reproduced for any other purposes without prior permission of the copyright holders.

The Cornwall Alliance for the Stewardship of Creation seeks to magnify the glory of God in creation, the wisdom of His truth in environmental stewardship, the kindness of His mercy in lifting the needy out of poverty, and the wonders of His grace in the gospel of Jesus Christ. A coalition of theologians, pastors, ministry leaders, scientists, economists, policy experts, and committed laymen, the Cornwall Alliance is the world’s leading evangelical voice promoting environmental stewardship and economic development built on Biblical principles. The Cornwall Alliance is a 501(c)3 non-profit religious, charitable, and educational organization. All gifts are tax deductible.

 

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